www.NormanSpencer.co.nz /  Prediction Science / 2. Approach and Philosophy
Previous Page     Next Page     Feedback

2. Approach and Philosophy

My approach to prediction science began with my work on business strategy. I began to realise that the universe functions as a whole, and that business is not in a separate 'box'. It dawned on me that data catchment must be unlimited and that the prime task of predictive strategy must be to discover how the universe works, and why. In order to assess business risks and opportunities, one must find out what is happening socially and globally ... and one must know what forces and laws are determining the course of events.

In 1968, I set myself the task of singling out propositions, about existence, which had a 90% plus reliability rating. As these propositions were interrelated, I set them out in the form of a network. As I applied myself to the development of this network, two interesting things happened, namely:

  1. The propositions became re-arranged, with creative intelligence propositions moving to the centre of the network.

  2. The propositions started to breed ... that is, they started to multiply.

It is fruitless to debate how much of the network's development is of itself and how much is of myself. Obviously, a form of partnership is involved. However, I am always aware of it's almost plant-like, self-organising nature and it's uncanny ability to reach out and to multiply. Back in 1968, the network started with 44 propositions and now, in 1993, it has more than 3,500 propositions.

Very early, I discovered that no advantage was to be gained by fussing about and sorting the propositions into precise categories. I found that it was better to let the network grow like a wild plant. As a consequence, the propositions are not neatly classified and pigeon-holed.

Very early also, the network showed clearly where it was deficient in data and, over the years, I have been led a merry chase into virtually every branch of knowledge, gathering needed information. of the network's 3,500 plus propositions, about 800 are from authoritative scientific and academic sources ... and the balance have self-generated from this seeding, and from my own contributions.

I have been talking about 'propositions': what do I mean by a proposition? A proposition is a statement about some aspect of existence, and it may be a scientific law or some scientific data or an observation on society or a philosophical concept or a notation. obviously, when we take such a general view of propositions, they become countless ... and it may be said that everything we are aware of is propositional. My particular approach, to prediction science, is to single out anything which may provide a clue to discovering the future.

Every new science starts in this way, by gathering together everything which is known about a particular subject ... that is, all knowledge which may have a direct or indirect bearing upon it. The future is an unknown and, as such, it is a puzzle ... and the future is integral with existence ... that is, existence itself is a puzzle. Prediction science is an exercise in solving the puzzle of existence.

I very soon discovered that unquestionable proof of anything is an unattainable: this is now well recognised by philosophers of science. Everything is interrelated and, furthermore, everything is integrally related ... that is, existence is an absolute. This means that every thing is wholly in each other thing ... and it means that the whole is wholly present in each part. All descriptions and 'proofs' are tautological. We are inevitably involved in describing things in terms of themselves.

What then is the use of a propositional network? My approach to prediction science is to develop a tool by which we can predict the future. We cannot prove any part of the network or the whole of the network but, of course, we will be able to check out its usefulness with regard to predicting the future.

If we can't prove any of the propositions, why should it be any more reliable than tea leaves or astrology or palmistry? To say that the network gathers together the best of human knowledge, may say something in its favour but, in the final analysis, we must judge on results, and that is fair enough!

An important point to mention is that my approach is multiparadigmatic ... it espouses many seemingly different points of view. A paradigm is a mind-set. Instead of taking one 'TV camera' to the existence 'football match', I take along a few hundred. As each 'camera' is differently positioned and differently focused, we obtain a much better overall view of the 'game'.

A study of history shows that creative intelligence has been the cardinal quality in the evolutionary success of the human species but, from the 1945 nuclear advent on, it's actions have become increasingly harmful to the species. Why? The answer is that the race is undergoing a metamorphosis from finite form to transfinite form. The creative intelligence is the agency by which this transformation takes place. If creative intelligence is an agency, what does it answer to? Awareness and will reside in the monad, or soul. The Absolute is wholly in each monad and, thus, each monad is a sovereign being. Monads are the principals and creative intelligence is the major agency by which monads express their will.

Most people seem to be puzzled as to why the world is becoming more and more chaotic. However, events aren't puzzling, once we become aware that it is we ourselves who are causing the commotion. The Earth is the egg of monads, and we feed upon it. In order for us to grow qualitatively, we need to absorb the quality of mass, and we use our creative intelligence to release it. Every time we release energy from mass, we release all the other qualities along with it. In other words, that which the Earth loses is our gain. We shouldn't feel bad about it because the Earth is put here for us to use: it is the egg and we are the fledglings.

At one stage of the network development, it became obvious that there was a large network gap in respect of Earth-sciences propositions and, since 1989, I have carried out much study and research in order to remedy this deficiency. My work indicates that a thermonuclear explosion took place in the Earth's core, 180 million years ago. As the heat, from this explosion, comes closer to the surface, volcanic activity will increase ... and, as volcanic emissions increase, much of the sun's heat will be prevented from reaching the Earth's surface. The sulphur dioxide and fine dust, thrown up by volcanoes, forms a deinsolating veil in the stratosphere. Consequently, the first climatic effects of increased volcanism are for greater cold but later, when the core-heat reaches the surface, the temperature of the atmosphere will increase dramatically. Entropy is increasing generally ... that is, chaos is increasing. We will now consider the economic, social and political consequences.

Previous Page     Next Page     Feedback
www.NormanSpencer.co.nz /  Prediction Science / 2. Approach and Philosophy